Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Major League Soccer
USA · Regular Season - 16
Chicago FireHOME · -
0 : 12024.05.05 · 종료
New England RevolutionAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.8%
DRAW13.6%
AWAY6.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.8%
VALUE EDGE+79.8%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
92/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+45.5%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+46.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+6.2%p
REST
EVEN
-0.2%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Chicago FireAnalysis MetricsNew England Revolution
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
1.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.58
1.83
Average goals concededLower is better
1.67
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
63/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chicago Fire
D · 0-0L · 0-4D · 0-0W · 2-1L · 3-0
New England Revolution
L · 1-4L · 1-0L · 2-0W · 1-0D · 1-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.18 | New England Revolution | 1 : 0 | Chicago Fire |
| 2026.09.14 | Chicago Fire | 1 : 2 | New England Revolution |
| 2025.10.19 | New England Revolution | 2 : 2 | Chicago Fire |
| 2025.09.07 | Chicago Fire | 3 : 2 | New England Revolution |
| 2024.05.05 | Chicago Fire | 0 : 1 | New England Revolution |
| 2024.03.24 | New England Revolution | 1 : 1 | Chicago Fire |