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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 15
Los Angeles FCHOME · -
3 : 22024.04.28 · 종료
Portland TimbersAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.9%
DRAW11.1%
AWAY7.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK HOME 56.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.9%
VALUE EDGE+81.9%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 94/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +40.4%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +40.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +5.8%p
REST EVEN -0.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Los Angeles FCAnalysis MetricsPortland Timbers
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
1.33 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.92
1.50 Average goals concededLower is better 1.83
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

63/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.9%
DRAW
11.1%
AWAY
7.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Los Angeles FC
D · 2-2D · 2-2W · 2-1L · 3-2W · 5-0
Portland Timbers
D · 2-2D · 2-2D · 3-3L · 3-2L · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.23Los Angeles FC1 : 1Portland Timbers
2026.04.12Portland Timbers2 : 1Los Angeles FC
2026.01.29Los Angeles FC2 : 2Portland Timbers
2025.07.26Los Angeles FC0 : 1Portland Timbers
2025.04.20Portland Timbers3 : 3Los Angeles FC
2024.04.28Los Angeles FC3 : 2Portland Timbers
2024.04.14Portland Timbers2 : 2Los Angeles FC