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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 14
New York City FCHOME · -
2 : 12024.04.28 · 종료
CharlotteAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.3%
DRAW23.6%
AWAY5.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK HOME 51.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 88/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +64.8%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +58.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +10.5%p
REST HOME +4.7%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
New York City FCAnalysis MetricsCharlotte
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
1.08 Average goals scoredHigher is better 2.17
1.17 Average goals concededLower is better 1.58
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement4.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.3%
DRAW
23.6%
AWAY
5.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
New York City FC
W · 2-0W · 2-0D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 1-0
Charlotte
L · 0-3W · 3-2L · 1-0D · 1-1W · 2-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.14Charlotte0 : 1New York City FC
2026.04.19New York City FC1 : 2Charlotte
2025.11.08Charlotte1 : 3New York City FC
2025.11.02New York City FC0 : 0Charlotte
2025.10.29Charlotte0 : 1New York City FC
2025.09.21New York City FC2 : 0Charlotte
2025.07.13Charlotte2 : 0New York City FC
2024.04.28New York City FC2 : 1Charlotte
2024.02.25Charlotte1 : 0New York City FC