Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Major League Soccer
USA · Regular Season - 14
Orlando City SCHOME · -
1 : 22024.04.28 · 종료
Toronto FCAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.7%
DRAW26.1%
AWAY14.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
HOME 44.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.7%
VALUE EDGE+59.7%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
73/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+20.8%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+15.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+5.4%p
REST
EVEN
+0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Orlando City SCAnalysis MetricsToronto FC
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.17
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.67
2.17
Average goals concededLower is better
2.42
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation14.4 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orlando City SC
D · 2-2W · 2-3D · 1-1W · 2-0L · 2-0
Toronto FC
W · 1-0L · 3-2L · 4-0L · 1-3W · 2-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.15 | Toronto FC | 3 : 3 | Orlando City SC |
| 2026.09.13 | Orlando City SC | 3 : 0 | Toronto FC |
| 2025.10.19 | Toronto FC | 4 : 2 | Orlando City SC |
| 2025.03.02 | Orlando City SC | 4 : 2 | Toronto FC |
| 2024.07.04 | Toronto FC | 1 : 2 | Orlando City SC |
| 2024.04.28 | Orlando City SC | 1 : 2 | Toronto FC |