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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 14
AustinHOME · -
2 : 02024.04.28 · 종료
Los Angeles GalaxyAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME14.9%
DRAW12.6%
AWAY72.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK AWAY 51.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +72.5%
VALUE EDGE+72.5%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 82/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -6.0%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -13.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -16.2%p
REST HOME +5.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
AustinAnalysis MetricsLos Angeles Galaxy
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
1.17 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.92
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 2.08
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement10.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
14.9%
DRAW
12.6%
AWAY
72.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Austin
W · 0-1L · 1-0W · 4-3W · 2-1L · 2-0
Los Angeles Galaxy
W · 4-3W · 1-3L · 2-1W · 1-0W · 2-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.01Los Angeles Galaxy4 : 1Austin
2026.04.12Austin1 : 2Los Angeles Galaxy
2025.07.17Los Angeles Galaxy1 : 2Austin
2025.04.20Austin1 : 0Los Angeles Galaxy
2024.10.06Los Angeles Galaxy2 : 1Austin
2024.04.28Austin2 : 0Los Angeles Galaxy