Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Major League Soccer
USA · Regular Season - 12
Toronto FCHOME · -
1 : 02024.04.21 · 종료
New England RevolutionAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.1%
DRAW12.7%
AWAY5.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW27 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
27/100
AI PICK
HOME 56.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.1%
VALUE EDGE+82.1%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
71/100 · HIGH RISK
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+15.5%p
REST
EVEN
+0.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Toronto FCAnalysis MetricsNew England Revolution
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
1.67
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.58
2.42
Average goals concededLower is better
1.67
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
27/100
LOW
Data coverage5.4 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toronto FC
L · 3-2L · 4-0L · 1-3W · 2-0L · 2-1
New England Revolution
L · 2-0W · 1-0D · 1-1L · 1-2L · 4-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.16 | Toronto FC | 2 : 1 | New England Revolution |
| 2026.07.23 | New England Revolution | 0 : 0 | Toronto FC |
| 2025.09.14 | New England Revolution | 1 : 1 | Toronto FC |
| 2025.05.04 | Toronto FC | 0 : 2 | New England Revolution |
| 2024.04.21 | Toronto FC | 1 : 0 | New England Revolution |
| 2024.03.04 | New England Revolution | 0 : 1 | Toronto FC |