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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 10
FC CincinnatiHOME · -
1 : 22024.04.07 · 종료
New York Red BullsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME18.9%
DRAW68.0%
AWAY13.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW26 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 26/100
AI PICK DRAW 46.5% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +68.0%
VALUE EDGE+68.0%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 21/100 · HIGH RISK
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +1.7%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
FC CincinnatiAnalysis MetricsNew York Red Bulls
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
1.50 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.42
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 1.33
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

26/100 LOW
Data coverage5.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement4.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
18.9%
DRAW
68.0%
AWAY
13.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FC Cincinnati
D · 1-1W · 1-0W · 1-2D · 0-0W · 1-2
New York Red Bulls
D · 1-1W · 4-0L · 3-0W · 2-1W · 1-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.26FC Cincinnati2 : 0New York Red Bulls
2026.04.05New York Red Bulls4 : 2FC Cincinnati
2025.10.05New York Red Bulls0 : 1FC Cincinnati
2025.02.23FC Cincinnati1 : 0New York Red Bulls
2024.07.21New York Red Bulls3 : 1FC Cincinnati
2024.04.07FC Cincinnati1 : 2New York Red Bulls