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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 7
FC CincinnatiHOME · -
1 : 02024.03.24 · 종료
New York City FCAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.5%
DRAW25.2%
AWAY29.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 38.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +45.5%
VALUE EDGE+45.5%
FAIR ODDS2.20
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 24/100 · HIGH RISK
REST AWAY -3.9%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
FC CincinnatiAnalysis MetricsNew York City FC
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.50 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.08
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 1.17
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.9 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
45.5%
DRAW
25.2%
AWAY
29.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FC Cincinnati
W · 1-2D · 0-0W · 1-2D · 0-0
New York City FC
W · 2-1L · 1-2L · 2-0L · 1-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.20FC Cincinnati2 : 1New York City FC
2026.04.23New York City FC4 : 4FC Cincinnati
2025.08.24FC Cincinnati0 : 1New York City FC
2025.05.05New York City FC1 : 0FC Cincinnati
2024.11.10FC Cincinnati0 : 0New York City FC
2024.11.03New York City FC3 : 1FC Cincinnati
2024.10.29FC Cincinnati1 : 0New York City FC
2024.10.03New York City FC3 : 2FC Cincinnati
2024.03.24FC Cincinnati1 : 0New York City FC