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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Bangladesh · Regular Season - 11
AbahaniHOME · -
1 : 12024.04.05 · 종료
FortisAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.8%
DRAW19.2%
AWAY9.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 62/100
AI PICK HOME 51.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.8%
VALUE EDGE+71.8%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 84/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +11.9%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +15.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +14.8%p
REST AWAY -5.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
AbahaniAnalysis MetricsFortis
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
2.00 Average goals scoredHigher is better 2.92
0.75 Average goals concededLower is better 1.25
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

62/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.8%
DRAW
19.2%
AWAY
9.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Abahani
W · 0-3D · 2-2D · 2-2W · 2-3W · 1-2
Fortis
L · 4-0W · 0-2W · 2-1L · 1-0D · 2-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.24Abahani1 : 0Fortis
2025.12.06Fortis0 : 0Abahani
2025.05.17Abahani1 : 2Fortis
2025.01.03Fortis0 : 0Abahani
2024.04.05Abahani1 : 1Fortis
2023.12.30Fortis1 : 0Abahani