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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 22
KhoromkhonHOME · -
3 : 22024.05.19 · 종료
ErchimAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.1%
DRAW17.2%
AWAY36.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 75/100
AI PICK HOME 38.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +46.1%
VALUE EDGE+46.1%
FAIR ODDS2.17
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 53/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -3.1%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -10.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.5%p
H2H AWAY -100.0%p
REST HOME +10.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
KhoromkhonAnalysis MetricsErchim
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.50 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.75
5.33 Average goals concededLower is better 3.58
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
4.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage15.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.1%
DRAW
17.2%
AWAY
36.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Khoromkhon
W · 1-3L · 1-4W · 2-4W · 2-1L · 2-1
Erchim
L · 1-6D · 2-2W · 5-3W · 2-1W · 1-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.06.19Khoromkhon5 : 4Erchim
2025.03.23Erchim0 : 0Khoromkhon
2024.08.25Khoromkhon0 : 4Erchim
2024.05.19Khoromkhon3 : 2Erchim
2024.03.31Erchim3 : 2Khoromkhon
2023.08.22Khoromkhon2 : 3Erchim