Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 22
DerenHOME · -
1 : 22024.05.18 · 종료
KhangaridAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.0%
DRAW22.5%
AWAY52.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
75/100
AI PICK
AWAY 40.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.5%
VALUE EDGE+52.5%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
66/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-28.7%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-10.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
EVEN
-0.4%p
H2H
EVEN
+0.0%p
REST
AWAY
-5.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
DerenAnalysis MetricsKhangarid
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.92
1.33
Average goals concededLower is better
1.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage15.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation11.8 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Deren
W · 1-6W · 1-4L · 0-1W · 3-2L · 5-1
Khangarid
W · 2-1W · 1-2W · 2-1W · 4-1W · 0-5
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.30 | Deren | 2 : 1 | Khangarid |
| 2026.06.21 | Khangarid | 2 : 3 | Deren |
| 2026.05.09 | Khangarid | 2 : 1 | Deren |
| 2025.10.11 | Deren | 1 : 1 | Khangarid |
| 2025.07.10 | Deren | 1 : 3 | Khangarid |
| 2025.04.20 | Khangarid | 0 : 0 | Deren |
| 2024.10.05 | Deren | 1 : 2 | Khangarid |
| 2024.05.18 | Deren | 1 : 2 | Khangarid |
| 2024.03.31 | Khangarid | 0 : 0 | Deren |
| 2023.08.22 | Deren | 2 : 2 | Khangarid |