Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 22
UlaanbaatarHOME · -
4 : 22024.05.18 · 종료
Bayanzürkh SportingAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME83.9%
DRAW9.0%
AWAY7.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
75/100
AI PICK
HOME 56.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+83.9%
VALUE EDGE+83.9%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
100/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+10.6%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+10.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+12.7%p
H2H
HOME
+100.0%p
REST
AWAY
-5.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
UlaanbaatarAnalysis MetricsBayanzürkh Sporting
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
4.42
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.25
0.58
Average goals concededLower is better
3.50
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage15.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ulaanbaatar
W · 1-8L · 1-3L · 2-1L · 2-1W · 5-1
Bayanzürkh Sporting
L · 1-3W · 4-3L · 6-1L · 4-1L · 1-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.06.28 | Ulaanbaatar | 0 : 0 | Bayanzürkh Sporting |
| 2025.04.06 | Bayanzürkh Sporting | 1 : 5 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2024.09.21 | Ulaanbaatar | 1 : 0 | Bayanzürkh Sporting |
| 2024.05.18 | Ulaanbaatar | 4 : 2 | Bayanzürkh Sporting |
| 2024.03.30 | Bayanzürkh Sporting | 1 : 3 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2023.08.23 | Ulaanbaatar | 1 : 0 | Bayanzürkh Sporting |