Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 21
ErchimHOME · -
1 : 62024.05.16 · 종료
DerenAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.5%
DRAW22.3%
AWAY50.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
75/100
AI PICK
AWAY 40.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.2%
VALUE EDGE+50.2%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
64/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+9.2%p
HOME_AWAY
EVEN
+0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
EVEN
-2.2%p
H2H
AWAY
-50.0%p
REST
AWAY
-4.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
ErchimAnalysis MetricsDeren
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.75
3.58
Average goals concededLower is better
1.33
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage15.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Erchim
D · 2-2W · 5-3W · 2-1W · 1-2W · 7-1
Deren
W · 1-4L · 0-1W · 3-2L · 5-1L · 2-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.14 | Deren | 5 : 0 | Erchim |
| 2025.06.22 | Erchim | 1 : 3 | Deren |
| 2025.03.30 | Deren | 1 : 1 | Erchim |
| 2024.09.15 | Erchim | 2 : 2 | Deren |
| 2024.05.16 | Erchim | 1 : 6 | Deren |
| 2024.03.17 | Deren | 7 : 0 | Erchim |
| 2023.08.17 | Erchim | 0 : 0 | Deren |