Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 21
FalconsHOME · -
5 : 12024.05.16 · 종료
KhovdAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME96.9%
DRAW2.6%
AWAY0.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
75/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+96.9%
VALUE EDGE+96.9%
FAIR ODDS1.03
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
100/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+83.7%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+80.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+29.4%p
H2H
HOME
+100.0%p
REST
AWAY
-5.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
FalconsAnalysis MetricsKhovd
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
4.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
3.08
0.75
Average goals concededLower is better
3.58
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage15.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Falcons
W · 1-3W · 6-1W · 7-0W · 2-1L · 3-1
Khovd
L · 1-2L · 5-3L · 3-2L · 0-3L · 4-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.10.12 | Khovd | 0 : 2 | Falcons |
| 2025.07.01 | Khovd | 1 : 5 | Falcons |
| 2025.04.13 | Falcons | 5 : 0 | Khovd |
| 2024.09.25 | Khovd | 0 : 1 | Falcons |
| 2024.05.16 | Falcons | 5 : 1 | Khovd |
| 2024.03.16 | Khovd | 0 : 2 | Falcons |
| 2023.08.18 | Falcons | 1 : 0 | Khovd |