Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 21

BavariansHOME · -

1 : 82024.05.15 · 종료

UlaanbaatarAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME1.4%

DRAW4.1%

AWAY94.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 75/100

AI PICK AWAY 70.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +94.5%

VALUE EDGE+94.5%

FAIR ODDS1.06

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -49.7%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -56.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -21.8%p

H2H AWAY -100.0%p

REST HOME +10.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

BavariansAnalysis MetricsUlaanbaatar

0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%

0.75 Average goals scoredHigher is better 4.42

7.50 Average goals concededLower is better 0.58

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage15.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample7.5 / 10

Model agreement12.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

1.4%

DRAW

4.1%

AWAY

94.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Bavarians

L · 4-3L · 2-4L · 7-0L · 0-5L · 7-1

Ulaanbaatar

L · 1-3L · 2-1L · 2-1W · 5-1W · 1-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.15	Bavarians	1 : 8	Ulaanbaatar
2024.03.17	Ulaanbaatar	5 : 1	Bavarians
2023.08.18	Bavarians	1 : 5	Ulaanbaatar