Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 20
UlaanbaatarHOME · -
1 : 32024.05.12 · 종료
FalconsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME8.4%
DRAW19.6%
AWAY71.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
75/100
AI PICK
AWAY 51.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.9%
VALUE EDGE+71.9%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
90/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-18.1%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-33.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
EVEN
-2.2%p
H2H
AWAY
-100.0%p
REST
EVEN
+0.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
UlaanbaatarAnalysis MetricsFalcons
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
4.42
Average goals scoredHigher is better
4.75
0.58
Average goals concededLower is better
0.75
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage14.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement4.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ulaanbaatar
L · 2-1L · 2-1W · 5-1W · 1-2W · 9-1
Falcons
W · 6-1W · 7-0W · 2-1L · 3-1W · 4-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.09.28 | Ulaanbaatar | 1 : 1 | Falcons |
| 2025.06.15 | Ulaanbaatar | 3 : 4 | Falcons |
| 2025.03.15 | Falcons | 0 : 0 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2024.08.16 | Ulaanbaatar | 0 : 1 | Falcons |
| 2024.05.12 | Ulaanbaatar | 1 : 3 | Falcons |
| 2024.03.10 | Falcons | 1 : 0 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2023.08.13 | Ulaanbaatar | 0 : 2 | Falcons |