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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 20
Central StallionsHOME · -
2 : 22024.05.12 · 종료
ErchimAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.5%
DRAW16.0%
AWAY27.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 75/100
AI PICK HOME 44.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.5%
VALUE EDGE+56.5%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 68/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +6.6%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +3.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.7%p
H2H AWAY -50.0%p
REST AWAY -10.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Central StallionsAnalysis MetricsErchim
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
3.42 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.75
1.58 Average goals concededLower is better 3.58
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage14.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation12.4 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.5%
DRAW
16.0%
AWAY
27.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Stallions
W · 0-1L · 2-1W · 0-3L · 1-2W · 1-3
Erchim
W · 5-3W · 2-1W · 1-2W · 7-1L · 4-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.01Erchim1 : 4Central Stallions
2025.06.15Erchim0 : 4Central Stallions
2025.03.14Central Stallions0 : 2Erchim
2024.08.18Erchim14 : 0Central Stallions
2024.05.12Central Stallions2 : 2Erchim
2024.03.09Erchim2 : 2Central Stallions
2023.08.13Central Stallions0 : 5Erchim