Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 19
DerenHOME · -
0 : 12024.05.05 · 종료
Central StallionsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.3%
DRAW17.8%
AWAY22.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
74/100
AI PICK
HOME 44.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
72/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+6.8%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+11.1%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+5.3%p
H2H
EVEN
+0.0%p
REST
HOME
+5.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
DerenAnalysis MetricsCentral Stallions
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
2.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
3.42
1.33
Average goals concededLower is better
1.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage14.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement10.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Deren
W · 3-2L · 5-1L · 2-3W · 0-6L · 0-1
Central Stallions
L · 2-1W · 0-3L · 1-2W · 1-3W · 2-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.02 | Central Stallions | 3 : 3 | Deren |
| 2026.10.11 | Central Stallions | 2 : 1 | Deren |
| 2026.07.03 | Central Stallions | 0 : 3 | Deren |
| 2026.06.24 | Deren | 2 : 0 | Central Stallions |
| 2026.06.14 | Deren | 1 : 2 | Central Stallions |
| 2025.10.30 | Central Stallions | 1 : 0 | Deren |
| 2025.07.02 | Central Stallions | 1 : 3 | Deren |
| 2025.04.12 | Deren | 1 : 1 | Central Stallions |
| 2024.09.24 | Central Stallions | 0 : 21 | Deren |
| 2024.05.05 | Deren | 0 : 1 | Central Stallions |