Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 19
KhangaridHOME · -
2 : 12024.05.04 · 종료
UlaanbaatarAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.4%
DRAW27.3%
AWAY47.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
74/100
AI PICK
AWAY 38.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+47.3%
VALUE EDGE+47.3%
FAIR ODDS2.11
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
64/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
EVEN
-0.8%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-11.1%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
EVEN
-0.4%p
H2H
EVEN
+0.0%p
REST
HOME
+5.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
KhangaridAnalysis MetricsUlaanbaatar
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
1.92
Average goals scoredHigher is better
4.42
1.75
Average goals concededLower is better
0.58
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage14.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.6 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Khangarid
W · 4-1W · 0-5W · 3-1L · 3-4W · 2-3
Ulaanbaatar
L · 2-1W · 5-1W · 1-2W · 9-1W · 1-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.03 | Khangarid | 3 : 4 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2026.06.24 | Ulaanbaatar | 3 : 1 | Khangarid |
| 2026.05.17 | Ulaanbaatar | 3 : 1 | Khangarid |
| 2025.10.14 | Khangarid | 1 : 3 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2025.06.19 | Khangarid | 6 : 2 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2025.03.22 | Ulaanbaatar | 0 : 0 | Khangarid |
| 2024.08.25 | Khangarid | 0 : 2 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2024.05.04 | Khangarid | 2 : 1 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2024.03.02 | Ulaanbaatar | 0 : 3 | Khangarid |
| 2023.08.05 | Khangarid | 0 : 2 | Ulaanbaatar |