Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 19
ErchimHOME · -
5 : 32024.05.03 · 종료
KhovdAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME93.4%
DRAW4.7%
AWAY1.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
74/100
AI PICK
HOME 70.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+93.4%
VALUE EDGE+93.4%
FAIR ODDS1.07
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
100/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+48.2%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+40.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+18.3%p
H2H
HOME
+50.0%p
REST
AWAY
-10.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
ErchimAnalysis MetricsKhovd
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
1.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
3.08
3.58
Average goals concededLower is better
3.58
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage14.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Erchim
W · 2-1W · 1-2W · 7-1L · 4-1L · 2-3
Khovd
L · 3-2L · 0-3L · 4-1L · 9-1L · 1-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | Khovd | 3 : 4 | Erchim |
| 2026.09.26 | Erchim | 2 : 8 | Khovd |
| 2025.06.11 | Erchim | 1 : 3 | Khovd |
| 2024.10.19 | Khovd | 3 : 3 | Erchim |
| 2024.05.03 | Erchim | 5 : 3 | Khovd |
| 2024.03.01 | Khovd | 2 : 5 | Erchim |
| 2023.08.05 | Erchim | 1 : 1 | Khovd |