Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 18
ErchimHOME · -
2 : 12024.04.28 · 종료
UlaanbaatarAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME16.9%
DRAW25.6%
AWAY57.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
66/100
AI PICK
AWAY 44.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
71/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-21.8%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-25.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
EVEN
-2.0%p
REST
HOME
+5.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
ErchimAnalysis MetricsUlaanbaatar
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
1.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
4.42
3.58
Average goals concededLower is better
0.58
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage13.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation13.6 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Erchim
W · 1-2W · 7-1L · 4-1L · 2-3W · 3-2
Ulaanbaatar
W · 5-1W · 1-2W · 9-1W · 1-2W · 1-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.11 | Erchim | 1 : 3 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2025.07.02 | Erchim | 0 : 3 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2025.04.13 | Ulaanbaatar | 2 : 1 | Erchim |
| 2024.09.26 | Erchim | 3 : 2 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2024.06.30 | Ulaanbaatar | 2 : 3 | Erchim |
| 2024.04.28 | Erchim | 2 : 1 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2023.11.02 | Ulaanbaatar | 5 : 0 | Erchim |