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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 18
KhangaridHOME · -
4 : 12024.04.27 · 종료
Bayanzürkh SportingAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.4%
DRAW18.9%
AWAY28.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 65/100
AI PICK HOME 40.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.4%
VALUE EDGE+52.4%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 59/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -8.7%p
HOME_AWAY EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.3%p
REST AWAY -10.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
KhangaridAnalysis MetricsBayanzürkh Sporting
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
1.92 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.25
1.75 Average goals concededLower is better 3.50
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
4.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage13.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.4%
DRAW
18.9%
AWAY
28.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Khangarid
W · 0-5W · 3-1L · 3-4W · 2-3D · 0-0
Bayanzürkh Sporting
L · 1-2W · 2-3L · 1-3W · 1-3L · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.07.06Khangarid3 : 1Bayanzürkh Sporting
2025.04.17Bayanzürkh Sporting0 : 4Khangarid
2024.09.30Khangarid2 : 0Bayanzürkh Sporting
2024.06.30Bayanzürkh Sporting2 : 4Khangarid
2024.04.27Khangarid4 : 1Bayanzürkh Sporting
2023.10.29Bayanzürkh Sporting1 : 7Khangarid