Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 18
DerenHOME · -
3 : 22024.04.26 · 종료
KhovdAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME93.7%
DRAW4.6%
AWAY1.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
65/100
AI PICK
HOME 70.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+93.7%
VALUE EDGE+93.7%
FAIR ODDS1.07
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
100/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+33.4%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+41.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+27.0%p
REST
AWAY
-5.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
DerenAnalysis MetricsKhovd
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
3.08
1.33
Average goals concededLower is better
3.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage13.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Deren
L · 5-1L · 2-3W · 0-6L · 0-1D · 0-0
Khovd
L · 0-3L · 4-1L · 9-1L · 1-3W · 2-4
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.04 | Deren | 3 : 3 | Khovd |
| 2026.06.18 | Khovd | 0 : 6 | Deren |
| 2025.11.03 | Deren | 8 : 0 | Khovd |
| 2025.06.28 | Deren | 1 : 1 | Khovd |
| 2025.04.05 | Khovd | 1 : 2 | Deren |
| 2024.09.20 | Deren | 4 : 2 | Khovd |
| 2024.06.29 | Khovd | 1 : 3 | Deren |
| 2024.04.26 | Deren | 3 : 2 | Khovd |
| 2023.10.29 | Khovd | 2 : 5 | Deren |