Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 17
UlaanbaatarHOME · -
5 : 12024.04.21 · 종료
DerenAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME17.9%
DRAW22.1%
AWAY59.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
65/100
AI PICK
AWAY 44.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.9%
VALUE EDGE+59.9%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
72/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-5.4%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-12.5%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
EVEN
-2.2%p
REST
AWAY
-10.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
UlaanbaatarAnalysis MetricsDeren
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.42
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.75
0.58
Average goals concededLower is better
1.33
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage13.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement5.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ulaanbaatar
W · 1-2W · 9-1W · 1-2W · 1-3W · 5-1
Deren
L · 2-3W · 0-6L · 0-1D · 0-0W · 7-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.29 | Ulaanbaatar | 1 : 0 | Deren |
| 2026.09.17 | Deren | 0 : 0 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2026.07.06 | Ulaanbaatar | 2 : 3 | Deren |
| 2026.06.27 | Deren | 0 : 2 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2026.05.23 | Ulaanbaatar | 2 : 0 | Deren |
| 2025.10.26 | Deren | 1 : 1 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2025.07.20 | Deren | 0 : 1 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2025.06.11 | Ulaanbaatar | 4 : 1 | Deren |
| 2025.03.09 | Deren | 2 : 0 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2024.06.22 | Deren | 1 : 1 | Ulaanbaatar |