Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 17

FalconsHOME · -

2 : 12024.04.21 · 종료

KhoromkhonAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.2%

DRAW9.7%

AWAY3.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 65/100

AI PICK HOME 63.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +87.2%

VALUE EDGE+87.2%

FAIR ODDS1.15

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +30.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +23.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +10.5%p

REST EVEN +0.6%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

FalconsAnalysis MetricsKhoromkhon

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

4.75 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.50

0.75 Average goals concededLower is better 5.33

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage12.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample4.5 / 10

Model agreement12.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

87.2%

DRAW

9.7%

AWAY

3.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Falcons

L · 3-1W · 4-1W · 0-1W · 2-1W · 0-2

Khoromkhon

W · 4-1W · 3-4L · 1-2L · 3-2L · 3-4

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.10.07	Khoromkhon	0 : 7	Falcons
2025.07.10	Khoromkhon	1 : 12	Falcons
2025.04.21	Falcons	5 : 1	Khoromkhon
2024.10.08	Khoromkhon	0 : 8	Falcons
2024.06.22	Khoromkhon	2 : 6	Falcons
2024.04.21	Falcons	2 : 1	Khoromkhon
2023.10.22	Khoromkhon	0 : 2	Falcons