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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 17
Bayanzürkh SportingHOME · -
1 : 22024.04.20 · 종료
ErchimAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME10.1%
DRAW10.4%
AWAY79.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 65/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +79.4%
VALUE EDGE+79.4%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 91/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -28.0%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -33.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -11.5%p
REST EVEN +0.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Bayanzürkh SportingAnalysis MetricsErchim
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.25 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.75
3.50 Average goals concededLower is better 3.58
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage13.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement9.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
10.1%
DRAW
10.4%
AWAY
79.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bayanzürkh Sporting
W · 2-3L · 1-3W · 1-3L · 1-3W · 3-4
Erchim
W · 7-1L · 4-1L · 2-3W · 3-2L · 7-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.07.09Erchim3 : 5Bayanzürkh Sporting
2025.04.20Bayanzürkh Sporting2 : 2Erchim
2024.10.05Erchim4 : 1Bayanzürkh Sporting
2024.06.20Erchim2 : 5Bayanzürkh Sporting
2024.04.20Bayanzürkh Sporting1 : 2Erchim
2023.10.22Erchim3 : 0Bayanzürkh Sporting