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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 16
Central StallionsHOME · -
1 : 22024.04.18 · 종료
UlaanbaatarAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME15.9%
DRAW21.1%
AWAY63.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 65/100
AI PICK AWAY 45.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.1%
VALUE EDGE+63.1%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 75/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -3.3%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -8.9%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -1.7%p
REST HOME +5.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Central StallionsAnalysis MetricsUlaanbaatar
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%
3.42 Average goals scoredHigher is better 4.42
1.58 Average goals concededLower is better 0.58
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
15.9%
DRAW
21.1%
AWAY
63.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Stallions
W · 1-3W · 2-1L · 2-1L · 0-1D · 2-2
Ulaanbaatar
W · 9-1W · 1-2W · 1-3W · 5-1L · 1-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.06Ulaanbaatar3 : 2Central Stallions
2026.10.25Central Stallions0 : 1Ulaanbaatar
2026.10.18Ulaanbaatar2 : 0Central Stallions
2026.06.30Ulaanbaatar2 : 3Central Stallions
2026.06.21Central Stallions0 : 3Ulaanbaatar
2026.06.17Central Stallions1 : 0Ulaanbaatar
2025.11.02Ulaanbaatar1 : 1Central Stallions
2025.07.09Central Stallions0 : 3Ulaanbaatar
2025.04.19Ulaanbaatar0 : 3Central Stallions
2024.10.04Central Stallions1 : 11Ulaanbaatar