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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 16
KhoromkhonHOME · -
4 : 12024.04.17 · 종료
KhovdAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME85.6%
DRAW8.5%
AWAY5.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 65/100
AI PICK HOME 63.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +85.6%
VALUE EDGE+85.6%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 98/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +6.9%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +9.5%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +16.7%p
REST AWAY -5.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
KhoromkhonAnalysis MetricsKhovd
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.50 Average goals scoredHigher is better 3.08
5.33 Average goals concededLower is better 3.58
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
85.6%
DRAW
8.5%
AWAY
5.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Khoromkhon
W · 3-4L · 1-2L · 3-2L · 3-4D · 2-2
Khovd
L · 9-1L · 1-3W · 2-4L · 0-2L · 1-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.01Khovd7 : 1Khoromkhon
2026.05.06Khoromkhon6 : 1Khovd
2025.10.04Khovd7 : 2Khoromkhon
2025.06.22Khovd10 : 2Khoromkhon
2025.03.28Khoromkhon2 : 1Khovd
2024.09.14Khovd3 : 4Khoromkhon
2024.06.15Khovd2 : 5Khoromkhon
2024.04.17Khoromkhon4 : 1Khovd
2023.10.01Khovd0 : 1Khoromkhon