Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 16
DerenHOME · -
2 : 32024.04.16 · 종료
Bayanzürkh SportingAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME85.8%
DRAW8.2%
AWAY6.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
HOME 63.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+85.8%
VALUE EDGE+85.8%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
98/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+8.2%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+23.8%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+16.8%p
REST
AWAY
-4.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
DerenAnalysis MetricsBayanzürkh Sporting
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
2.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.25
1.33
Average goals concededLower is better
3.50
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Deren
W · 0-6L · 0-1D · 0-0W · 7-0D · 2-2
Bayanzürkh Sporting
L · 1-3W · 1-3L · 1-3W · 3-4W · 1-8
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.06.18 | Deren | 8 : 1 | Bayanzürkh Sporting |
| 2025.03.22 | Bayanzürkh Sporting | 0 : 3 | Deren |
| 2024.08.24 | Deren | 3 : 2 | Bayanzürkh Sporting |
| 2024.06.15 | Bayanzürkh Sporting | 0 : 1 | Deren |
| 2024.04.16 | Deren | 2 : 3 | Bayanzürkh Sporting |
| 2023.10.02 | Bayanzürkh Sporting | 1 : 6 | Deren |