Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 15
BavariansHOME · -
0 : 62024.04.13 · 종료
DerenAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME1.9%
DRAW4.7%
AWAY93.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
AWAY 70.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+93.4%
VALUE EDGE+93.4%
FAIR ODDS1.07
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
100/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-48.8%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-52.4%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
AWAY
-18.2%p
REST
AWAY
-4.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
BavariansAnalysis MetricsDeren
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
0.83
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.75
7.67
Average goals concededLower is better
1.33
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bavarians
L · 2-1L · 2-4L · 5-1L · 1-8L · 7-1
Deren
L · 0-1D · 0-0W · 7-0D · 2-2L · 3-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.06.01 | Deren | 12 : 0 | Bavarians |
| 2024.04.13 | Bavarians | 0 : 6 | Deren |
| 2023.09.29 | Deren | 5 : 1 | Bavarians |