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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 14
KhoromkhonHOME · -
1 : 22024.04.07 · 종료
UlaanbaatarAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME9.0%
DRAW14.7%
AWAY76.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 88/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -28.0%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -33.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -1.5%p
REST AWAY -5.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
KhoromkhonAnalysis MetricsUlaanbaatar
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%
1.50 Average goals scoredHigher is better 4.42
5.33 Average goals concededLower is better 0.58
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
9.0%
DRAW
14.7%
AWAY
76.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Khoromkhon
L · 3-2L · 3-4D · 2-2W · 7-1L · 6-3
Ulaanbaatar
W · 1-3W · 5-1L · 1-0L · 0-3W · 5-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.14Ulaanbaatar7 : 0Khoromkhon
2025.10.30Khoromkhon0 : 10Ulaanbaatar
2025.07.15Ulaanbaatar4 : 1Khoromkhon
2025.06.07Khoromkhon2 : 3Ulaanbaatar
2024.10.13Ulaanbaatar1 : 2Khoromkhon
2024.05.26Ulaanbaatar3 : 2Khoromkhon
2024.04.07Khoromkhon1 : 2Ulaanbaatar
2023.08.28Ulaanbaatar1 : 2Khoromkhon