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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 14
KhovdHOME · -
1 : 32024.04.07 · 종료
Bayanzürkh SportingAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME6.4%
DRAW12.2%
AWAY81.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK AWAY 56.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +81.4%
VALUE EDGE+81.4%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 94/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -39.0%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -28.6%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -7.0%p
REST HOME +4.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
KhovdAnalysis MetricsBayanzürkh Sporting
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
3.25 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.25
3.58 Average goals concededLower is better 3.50
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
8.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
6.4%
DRAW
12.2%
AWAY
81.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Khovd
W · 2-4L · 0-2L · 1-0L · 2-5L · 2-5
Bayanzürkh Sporting
L · 1-3W · 3-4W · 1-8L · 1-6L · 1-7

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.07.15Bayanzürkh Sporting1 : 4Khovd
2025.06.06Khovd3 : 0Bayanzürkh Sporting
2024.10.12Bayanzürkh Sporting2 : 1Khovd
2024.05.25Bayanzürkh Sporting1 : 2Khovd
2024.04.07Khovd1 : 3Bayanzürkh Sporting
2023.08.28Bayanzürkh Sporting2 : 0Khovd