Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 14
DerenHOME · -
0 : 12024.04.05 · 종료
FalconsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME4.0%
DRAW17.8%
AWAY78.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
63/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.2%
VALUE EDGE+78.2%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
93/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-22.1%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-22.2%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+3.3%p
REST
AWAY
-4.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
DerenAnalysis MetricsFalcons
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
2.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
4.75
1.33
Average goals concededLower is better
0.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
63/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Deren
D · 0-0W · 7-0D · 2-2L · 3-2W · 2-5
Falcons
W · 2-1W · 0-2W · 1-0W · 1-6W · 0-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.09.20 | Falcons | 2 : 0 | Deren |
| 2025.07.16 | Falcons | 3 : 2 | Deren |
| 2025.06.07 | Deren | 0 : 1 | Falcons |
| 2024.10.12 | Falcons | 2 : 1 | Deren |
| 2024.05.26 | Falcons | 0 : 3 | Deren |
| 2024.04.05 | Deren | 0 : 1 | Falcons |
| 2023.08.27 | Falcons | 0 : 0 | Deren |