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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 13
ErchimHOME · -
3 : 22024.03.31 · 종료
KhoromkhonAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.9%
DRAW26.1%
AWAY43.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 63/100
AI PICK AWAY 36.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +43.0%
VALUE EDGE+43.0%
FAIR ODDS2.33
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 49/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -23.7%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -32.2%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.2%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
ErchimAnalysis MetricsKhoromkhon
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
1.75 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.50
3.58 Average goals concededLower is better 5.33
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

63/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.2 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
30.9%
DRAW
26.1%
AWAY
43.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Erchim
L · 7-0D · 2-2W · 2-5L · 5-0W · 3-0
Khoromkhon
L · 3-4D · 2-2W · 7-1L · 6-3L · 0-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.06.19Khoromkhon5 : 4Erchim
2025.03.23Erchim0 : 0Khoromkhon
2024.08.25Khoromkhon0 : 4Erchim
2024.05.19Khoromkhon3 : 2Erchim
2024.03.31Erchim3 : 2Khoromkhon
2023.08.22Khoromkhon2 : 3Erchim