Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 12
DerenHOME · -
7 : 02024.03.17 · 종료
ErchimAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.2%
DRAW12.4%
AWAY15.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
63/100
AI PICK
HOME 51.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.2%
VALUE EDGE+72.2%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
80/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+13.0%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+12.2%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+10.6%p
REST
AWAY
-4.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
DerenAnalysis MetricsErchim
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.75
1.33
Average goals concededLower is better
3.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
63/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Deren
D · 2-2L · 3-2W · 2-5W · 1-0W · 1-6
Erchim
D · 2-2W · 2-5L · 5-0W · 3-0D · 4-4
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.14 | Deren | 5 : 0 | Erchim |
| 2025.06.22 | Erchim | 1 : 3 | Deren |
| 2025.03.30 | Deren | 1 : 1 | Erchim |
| 2024.09.15 | Erchim | 2 : 2 | Deren |
| 2024.05.16 | Erchim | 1 : 6 | Deren |
| 2024.03.17 | Deren | 7 : 0 | Erchim |
| 2023.08.17 | Erchim | 0 : 0 | Deren |