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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 11
ErchimHOME · -
2 : 22024.03.09 · 종료
Central StallionsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.8%
DRAW26.3%
AWAY40.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 62/100
AI PICK AWAY 36.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +40.9%
VALUE EDGE+40.9%
FAIR ODDS2.44
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 46/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -19.6%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -16.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -1.2%p
REST HOME +10.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
ErchimAnalysis MetricsCentral Stallions
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
1.75 Average goals scoredHigher is better 3.42
3.58 Average goals concededLower is better 1.58
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

62/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation3.5 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
32.8%
DRAW
26.3%
AWAY
40.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Erchim
W · 2-5L · 5-0W · 3-0D · 4-4L · 0-3
Central Stallions
W · 3-2W · 6-3W · 7-2W · 0-3W · 3-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.01Erchim1 : 4Central Stallions
2025.06.15Erchim0 : 4Central Stallions
2025.03.14Central Stallions0 : 2Erchim
2024.08.18Erchim14 : 0Central Stallions
2024.05.12Central Stallions2 : 2Erchim
2024.03.09Erchim2 : 2Central Stallions
2023.08.13Central Stallions0 : 5Erchim