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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 11
BavariansHOME · -
1 : 82024.03.08 · 종료
Bayanzürkh SportingAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.8%
DRAW8.6%
AWAY4.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 62/100
AI PICK HOME 63.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.8%
VALUE EDGE+86.8%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 98/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +7.4%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +6.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +13.5%p
REST AWAY -5.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
BavariansAnalysis MetricsBayanzürkh Sporting
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
0.83 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.25
7.67 Average goals concededLower is better 3.50
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

62/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.8%
DRAW
8.6%
AWAY
4.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bavarians
L · 7-1L · 0-3L · 5-1D · 4-4L · 5-1
Bayanzürkh Sporting
L · 1-6L · 1-7L · 3-0L · 1-6L · 3-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.10Bayanzürkh Sporting4 : 3Bavarians
2024.03.08Bavarians1 : 8Bayanzürkh Sporting
2023.08.12Bayanzürkh Sporting1 : 4Bavarians