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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Mongolia · Regular Season - 10
Central StallionsHOME · -
3 : 22024.03.03 · 종료
DerenAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME8.3%
DRAW12.3%
AWAY79.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 62/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +79.4%
VALUE EDGE+79.4%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 90/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -7.9%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -13.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -1.1%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Central StallionsAnalysis MetricsDeren
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
3.42 Average goals scoredHigher is better 2.75
1.58 Average goals concededLower is better 1.33
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

62/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.4 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
8.3%
DRAW
12.3%
AWAY
79.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Stallions
W · 6-3W · 7-2W · 0-3W · 3-1W · 3-4
Deren
W · 2-5W · 1-0W · 1-6W · 5-1D · 0-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.02Central Stallions3 : 3Deren
2026.10.11Central Stallions2 : 1Deren
2026.07.03Central Stallions0 : 3Deren
2026.06.24Deren2 : 0Central Stallions
2026.06.14Deren1 : 2Central Stallions
2025.10.30Central Stallions1 : 0Deren
2025.07.02Central Stallions1 : 3Deren
2025.04.12Deren1 : 1Central Stallions
2024.09.24Central Stallions0 : 21Deren
2024.05.05Deren0 : 1Central Stallions