Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 9
KhovdHOME · -
2 : 52023.10.29 · 종료
DerenAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME5.5%
DRAW31.0%
AWAY63.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM61 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
61/100
AI PICK
AWAY 45.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.5%
VALUE EDGE+63.5%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
80/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-60.1%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-58.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
AWAY
-18.9%p
REST
AWAY
-5.6%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
KhovdAnalysis MetricsDeren
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.25
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.83
3.58
Average goals concededLower is better
1.25
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
61/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Khovd
L · 7-2L · 0-1L · 0-2L · 2-0L · 0-1
Deren
W · 1-0W · 1-6W · 5-1D · 0-0D · 2-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.04 | Deren | 3 : 3 | Khovd |
| 2026.06.18 | Khovd | 0 : 6 | Deren |
| 2025.11.03 | Deren | 8 : 0 | Khovd |
| 2025.06.28 | Deren | 1 : 1 | Khovd |
| 2025.04.05 | Khovd | 1 : 2 | Deren |
| 2024.09.20 | Deren | 4 : 2 | Khovd |
| 2024.06.29 | Khovd | 1 : 3 | Deren |
| 2024.04.26 | Deren | 3 : 2 | Khovd |
| 2023.10.29 | Khovd | 2 : 5 | Deren |