Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Mongolia · Regular Season - 8
DerenHOME · -
1 : 02023.10.21 · 종료
UlaanbaatarAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME10.7%
DRAW15.2%
AWAY74.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW24 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
24/100
AI PICK
AWAY 51.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.1%
VALUE EDGE+74.1%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
60/100 · HIGH RISK
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+10.8%p
REST
EVEN
+0.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
DerenAnalysis MetricsUlaanbaatar
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
2.83
Average goals scoredHigher is better
4.50
1.25
Average goals concededLower is better
0.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
24/100
LOW
Data coverage4.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement9.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Deren
W · 1-6W · 5-1D · 0-0D · 2-2D · 0-0
Ulaanbaatar
L · 0-3W · 0-2L · 1-2W · 1-0W · 1-5
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.10 | Deren | 4 : 1 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2026.10.29 | Ulaanbaatar | 1 : 0 | Deren |
| 2026.09.17 | Deren | 0 : 0 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2026.07.06 | Ulaanbaatar | 2 : 3 | Deren |
| 2026.06.27 | Deren | 0 : 2 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2026.05.23 | Ulaanbaatar | 2 : 0 | Deren |
| 2025.10.26 | Deren | 1 : 1 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2025.07.20 | Deren | 0 : 1 | Ulaanbaatar |
| 2025.06.11 | Ulaanbaatar | 4 : 1 | Deren |
| 2025.03.09 | Deren | 2 : 0 | Ulaanbaatar |