Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Small Countries European Championship
Europe · Small Countries European Championship - Semi-finals
MaltaHOME · -
59 : 522022.07.02 · 종료
AzerbaijanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.5%
VALUE EDGE+52.5%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
MaltaAnalysis MetricsAzerbaijan
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+9.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.33
152.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.83
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation2.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Malta
W · 70-72W · 73-71L · 84-97L · 79-94W · 93-81
Azerbaijan
W · 51-68L · 69-72L · 73-71L · 128-61W · 74-56
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.07.02 | Malta | 59 : 52 | Azerbaijan |
| 2022.06.29 | Malta | 73 : 71 | Azerbaijan |