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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Small Countries European Championship Europe · Small Countries European Championship - Quarter-finals
San MarinoHOME · -
51 : 682022.07.02 · 종료
AzerbaijanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +69.5%
VALUE EDGE+69.5%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
San MarinoAnalysis MetricsAzerbaijan
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-25.08 Point MarginHigher is better -10.33
145.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.17
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
30.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
69.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Marino
L · 78-66W · 61-47L · 100-63L · 37-100L · 99-44
Azerbaijan
L · 69-72L · 73-71L · 128-61W · 74-56L · 73-101

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.07.02San Marino51 : 68Azerbaijan