경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Reserve League Argentina · Clausura - 12

Sarmiento Res.HOME · 4.40

0 : 12026.10.09 · LIVE

Vélez Sársfield Res.AWAY · 1.73

HOME · 현재 순위 15위 승점 17 · 11경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 12위 승점 17 · 11경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · LIVE STATUS MODEL

HOME6.4%

DRAW22.0%

AWAY71.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 51.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +19.5%

VALUE EDGE+19.5%

FAIR ODDS1.40

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -25.6%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -36.1%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -45.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -16.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN -0.7%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Sarmiento Res.분석 지표Vélez Sársfield Res.

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92

0.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.42

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

6.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도8.0 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME20.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승23.5%표본 34경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승-표본 0경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 +0.0%

OPEN → NOW4.40 → 4.40배당 업데이트 2026-10-08 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

6.4%

DRAW

22.0%

AWAY

71.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Sarmiento Res.

L · 1-0W · 3-1L · 0-1D · 2-2D · 1-1

Vélez Sársfield Res.

D · 1-1W · 4-0W · 0-1D · 0-0D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.38

→

CURRENT4.39

+0.18%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.16

→

CURRENT3.28

+3.73%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.75

→

CURRENT1.71

-2.16%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-10-08 11:22:09	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 11:32:10	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 11:42:09	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 11:52:09	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 12:02:08	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 12:12:07	4.37	3.13	1.76
2026-10-08 12:12:08	4.39	3.17	1.74
2026-10-08 12:22:09	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 12:32:07	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 12:42:07	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 12:52:08	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 13:02:07	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 13:12:08	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 13:22:09	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 13:32:10	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 13:42:09	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 13:52:08	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 14:02:08	4.38	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 14:12:08	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 14:22:07	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 14:32:08	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 14:42:08	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 14:52:09	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 15:02:08	4.37	3.13	1.76
2026-10-08 15:02:09	4.37	3.17	1.75
2026-10-08 15:12:07	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 15:22:08	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 15:32:09	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 15:42:09	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 15:52:08	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 16:02:09	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 16:12:07	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 16:22:09	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 16:32:07	4.35	3.14	1.74
2026-10-08 16:32:08	4.41	3.20	1.77
2026-10-08 16:42:08	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 16:52:08	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 17:02:09	4.37	3.16	1.75
2026-10-08 17:12:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 17:22:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 17:32:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 17:42:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 17:52:09	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 18:02:09	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 18:12:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 18:22:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 18:32:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 18:42:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 18:52:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 19:02:09	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 19:12:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 19:22:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 19:32:09	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 19:42:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 19:52:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 20:02:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 20:12:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 20:22:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 20:32:09	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 20:42:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 20:52:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 21:02:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 21:12:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 21:22:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 21:32:07	4.40	3.29	1.70
2026-10-08 21:32:08	4.66	3.42	1.71
2026-10-08 21:42:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 21:52:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 22:02:07	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 22:12:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 22:22:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 22:32:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 22:42:09	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 22:52:09	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 23:02:08	4.49	3.33	1.70
2026-10-08 23:12:09	4.39	3.28	1.71
2026-10-08 23:22:09	4.39	3.28	1.71
2026-10-08 23:32:08	4.39	3.28	1.71
2026-10-08 23:42:10	4.39	3.28	1.71
2026-10-08 23:52:09	4.39	3.28	1.71

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.05.07	Vélez Sársfield Res.	4 : 0	Sarmiento Res.