경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Reserve League Argentina · Clausura - 8

Instituto Res.HOME · 2.10

2 : 22026.09.10 · 종료

Sarmiento Res.AWAY · 3.35

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 12 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 9위 승점 13 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.0%

DRAW37.5%

AWAY25.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK DRAW 32.3% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +7.3%

VALUE EDGE+7.3%

FAIR ODDS2.67

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 73/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN -2.1%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +5.6%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +13.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -5.8%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Instituto Res.분석 지표Sarmiento Res.

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.75

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.50

16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

6.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.2 / 15

예측 분리도0.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승38.1%표본 168경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.8%현재 이동 +0.0%

OPEN → NOW2.10 → 2.10배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:22

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

37.0%

DRAW

37.5%

AWAY

25.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Instituto Res.

W · 0-1W · 2-0W · 2-3D · 1-1D · 2-2

Sarmiento Res.

D · 1-1D · 0-0W · 0-2D · 0-0D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.10

→

CURRENT2.09

-0.32%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.10

→

CURRENT2.96

-4.57%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.20

→

CURRENT3.31

+3.54%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 13:02:18	2.10	3.10	3.20
2026-09-09 13:02:19	2.10	2.95	3.30
2026-09-09 13:12:18	2.10	2.97	3.29
2026-09-09 13:22:19	2.10	2.97	3.29
2026-09-09 13:22:20	2.07	2.95	3.18
2026-09-09 13:22:21	2.13	2.99	3.37
2026-09-09 13:32:19	2.10	2.97	3.29
2026-09-09 13:32:20	2.07	2.95	3.18
2026-09-09 13:32:21	2.13	2.99	3.37
2026-09-09 13:42:18	2.10	2.97	3.29
2026-09-09 13:42:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 13:52:19	2.10	2.97	3.29
2026-09-09 13:52:20	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 14:02:17	2.10	2.97	3.29
2026-09-09 14:02:18	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 14:12:17	2.10	2.97	3.29
2026-09-09 14:12:18	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 14:22:20	2.10	2.97	3.29
2026-09-09 14:22:21	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 14:32:20	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 14:42:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 14:52:20	2.11	3.01	3.21
2026-09-09 14:52:21	2.10	2.95	3.32
2026-09-09 15:02:21	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 15:12:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 15:22:21	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 15:32:21	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 15:42:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 15:52:20	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 16:02:19	2.08	3.05	3.31
2026-09-09 16:02:20	2.11	2.95	3.28
2026-09-09 16:12:18	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 16:22:21	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 16:32:20	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 16:42:20	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 16:52:22	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 17:02:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 17:12:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 17:22:22	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 17:32:21	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 17:42:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 17:52:23	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 18:02:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 18:12:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 18:22:22	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 18:32:21	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 18:42:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 18:52:22	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 19:02:21	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 19:12:19	2.10	2.97	3.28
2026-09-09 19:22:22	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 19:32:20	2.05	3.00	3.40
2026-09-09 19:32:21	2.10	2.97	3.30
2026-09-09 19:42:19	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 19:52:22	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 20:02:19	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 20:12:18	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 20:22:21	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 20:32:21	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 20:42:19	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 21:02:21	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 21:12:19	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 21:22:21	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 21:32:21	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 21:42:19	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 21:52:22	2.10	3.01	3.26
2026-09-09 21:52:23	2.09	2.95	3.33
2026-09-09 22:02:21	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 22:12:19	2.09	2.97	3.31
2026-09-09 22:22:22	2.08	2.90	3.40
2026-09-09 22:22:23	2.10	2.97	3.30
2026-09-09 22:32:21	2.09	2.96	3.31
2026-09-09 22:42:20	2.09	2.96	3.31
2026-09-09 22:52:22	2.09	2.96	3.31
2026-09-09 23:02:21	2.09	2.96	3.31
2026-09-09 23:12:20	2.09	2.96	3.31
2026-09-09 23:22:21	2.08	2.90	3.40
2026-09-09 23:22:22	2.10	2.97	3.30
2026-09-09 23:32:22	2.09	2.96	3.31
2026-09-09 23:42:22	2.09	2.96	3.31

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.10	Instituto Res.	2 : 2	Sarmiento Res.
2026.04.10	Sarmiento Res.	1 : 1	Instituto Res.