Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe · Latvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals
BK OgreHOME · -
66 : 832023.04.01 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.4%
VALUE EDGE+63.4%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
BK OgreAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
174.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation11.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Ogre
L · 76-70L · 75-67W · 81-68W · 65-80W · 93-66
BC Kalev
W · 80-73W · 76-70W · 101-64W · 84-102W · 78-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.07 | BK Ogre | 92 : 88 | BC Kalev |
| 2024.01.14 | BK Ogre | 67 : 78 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.11.11 | BC Kalev | 106 : 51 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.04.01 | BK Ogre | 66 : 83 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.03.25 | BC Kalev | 76 : 70 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.02.17 | BC Kalev | 99 : 68 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.01.14 | BK Ogre | 78 : 100 | BC Kalev |
| 2019.04.06 | BK Ogre | 85 : 87 | BC Kalev |
| 2019.02.07 | BC Kalev | 118 : 92 | BK Ogre |
| 2018.10.04 | BK Ogre | 78 : 93 | BC Kalev |