Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe · Latvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals
RaplaHOME · -
89 : 942023.03.29 · 종료
VEF RigaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.6%
VALUE EDGE+72.6%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.83
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.83
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
L · 77-54W · 61-66W · 96-64W · 77-83W · 83-70
VEF Riga
W · 77-54W · 75-67W · 78-102W · 71-97L · 99-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.25 | VEF Riga | 80 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2023.11.18 | Rapla | 71 : 85 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.03.29 | Rapla | 89 : 94 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.03.25 | VEF Riga | 77 : 54 | Rapla |
| 2023.01.18 | Rapla | 71 : 74 | VEF Riga |
| 2022.11.03 | VEF Riga | 81 : 62 | Rapla |
| 2019.04.01 | VEF Riga | 121 : 71 | Rapla |
| 2019.03.28 | Rapla | 65 : 90 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.01.23 | Rapla | 71 : 77 | VEF Riga |
| 2018.09.29 | VEF Riga | 102 : 68 | Rapla |