Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe · Latvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals
VEF RigaHOME · -
77 : 542023.03.25 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.0%
VALUE EDGE+74.0%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
VEF RigaAnalysis MetricsRapla
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
VEF Riga
W · 75-67W · 78-102W · 71-97L · 99-92W · 75-69
Rapla
W · 61-66W · 96-64W · 77-83W · 83-70W · 59-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.25 | VEF Riga | 80 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2023.11.18 | Rapla | 71 : 85 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.03.29 | Rapla | 89 : 94 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.03.25 | VEF Riga | 77 : 54 | Rapla |
| 2023.01.18 | Rapla | 71 : 74 | VEF Riga |
| 2022.11.03 | VEF Riga | 81 : 62 | Rapla |
| 2019.04.01 | VEF Riga | 121 : 71 | Rapla |
| 2019.03.28 | Rapla | 65 : 90 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.01.23 | Rapla | 71 : 77 | VEF Riga |
| 2018.09.29 | VEF Riga | 102 : 68 | Rapla |