Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
VEF RigaHOME · -
75 : 672023.03.18 · 종료
BK OgreAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.3%
VALUE EDGE+76.3%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
VEF RigaAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
VEF Riga
W · 78-102W · 71-97L · 99-92W · 75-69W · 56-79
BK Ogre
W · 81-68W · 65-80W · 93-66L · 99-68W · 68-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.26 | BK Ogre | 73 : 92 | VEF Riga |
| 2024.03.21 | VEF Riga | 81 : 74 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.10.05 | BK Ogre | 74 : 94 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.03.18 | VEF Riga | 75 : 67 | BK Ogre |
| 2022.11.20 | BK Ogre | 80 : 90 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.04.25 | VEF Riga | 90 : 85 | BK Ogre |
| 2019.04.23 | BK Ogre | 77 : 104 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.04.20 | VEF Riga | 110 : 71 | BK Ogre |
| 2019.03.07 | BK Ogre | 75 : 90 | VEF Riga |