Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BK OgreHOME · -
81 : 682023.03.13 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.0%
VALUE EDGE+71.0%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
BK OgreAnalysis MetricsParnu
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
174.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.00
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
4.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Ogre
W · 65-80W · 93-66L · 99-68W · 68-99L · 81-75
Parnu
L · 91-84W · 81-65L · 85-79L · 80-70L · 79-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.10 | Parnu | 73 : 82 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.12.21 | BK Ogre | 93 : 72 | Parnu |
| 2023.03.13 | BK Ogre | 81 : 68 | Parnu |
| 2022.10.15 | Parnu | 85 : 71 | BK Ogre |
| 2019.01.19 | Parnu | 79 : 86 | BK Ogre |
| 2018.09.29 | BK Ogre | 99 : 74 | Parnu |