Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
87 : 992023.03.12 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME22.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+77.9%
VALUE EDGE+77.9%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-18.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
166.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 93-66L · 73-85L · 59-102W · 81-75L · 103-80
Tartu Ulikool
L · 67-73L · 65-80L · 80-75L · 73-91W · 79-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.12 | Rakvere Tarvas | 87 : 99 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.11.06 | Tartu Ulikool | 98 : 76 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2022.04.14 | Rakvere Tarvas | 89 : 98 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.04.08 | Rakvere Tarvas | 80 : 76 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2014.12.22 | Tartu Ulikool | 84 : 66 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2013.12.22 | Tartu Ulikool | 97 : 70 | Rakvere Tarvas |